On the Ground - Market Update - May 2021

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The marketing is changing and it’s getting hotter and faster.

The promising market I depicted in January has come to fruition. By all markers, activity levels continue to surge and the data is encouraging.

MANHATTAN

Average sale price in Manhattan was $1.7 in Q1 down 9.4% from Q1 2020 $1.9M

  • Average sale price for new devs was $2.1M in Q1 down 24.6% from Q1 2020 $2.8M

  • Both metrics point to higher absorption rates, showing that sellers are meeting the discounts demanded by buyers and trading accordingly

  • Listing Discount off last price down to 4.6% v. 7% Q1 2020

  • Average overall price per square foot down to $1,387/sf from $1,536/sf Q1 2020

  • Absorption is escalating in Manhattan, in both Condo and Coop markets

  • Signed contracts increased by 45% from January to April

  • All price points thriving, coop contracts $1-4M up over 1000% YOY, condo contracts $1-4M up over 600% YOY

  • Condo luxury market $4M+ received 89 signed contracts in April

  • Coop luxury market $4M+ received 39 signed contracts in April

BROOKLYN

Brooklyn total deals larger part of pie than a year ago accounting for 53% of total deals an increase of 2 pts over LY 51%

  • Brooklyn contract pricing overall less discounted than Manhattan

  • Average Brooklyn new listing sales price increased by 10% hitting $1.1M over LY $1.0M

  • This is in stark contrast to Manhattan sales prices which have declined by 9% likely due to overall need for discounting

  • COVID 19 affected Brooklyn inventory differently than Manhattan

  • Brooklyn inventory weeks of supply have remained flat throughout the pandemic, while Manhattan inventory peaked in Summer 20 and remains elevated over LY

  • Additionally, Manhattan properties are sitting on the market for an average of 138 days v. 89 in Brooklyn